When it came to accurately predicting outcomes, most pundits fared worse than a simple coin toss.
This might not come as a big surprise to those of us who read the op-ed pages every day, but most commentators are not accurate prognosticators. New analysis of pundits' statements during the 2008 presidential race shows that while a number of them fared better than a simple coin toss at predicting outcomes, most were reliably inaccurate. Which talking heads got it right occasionally—and which stopped making sense?
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