West Virginia And Southbound Odds
- Posted by: Andrew Price
- on May 13, 2008 at 8:47 pm
Hillary Clinton will win the West Virginia primary tonight and pick up a few pledged delegates. In response, Obama may well try to keep the mercurial media grounded by announcing the support of a few more superdelegates (rumor has it he may have saved a few for a rainy day).
Meanwhile, as CNN points out, “Clinton trails Obama in delegates won, states won and the popular vote this primary season. Clinton also now trails Obama when it comes to the support of superdelegates, and her campaign is $20 million in the red.” That’s what they call a laundry list.
It’s not realistic to think she’ll ever catch Obama in the pledged delegate count. Even if she wins all of the remaining primaries by West Virginia margins (63% to 30%) she’d still need three out of every four undecided superdelegates to win. Convincing the vast majority of superdelegates that she’s the only one who can beat McCain is her only hope. But we don’t see that happening.
