Bueno De Mesquita or Bruce the Geo-Policital Dungeon Master?

http://www.timeforclimatejustice.org/ video: not original musicially...visually interesting...but I digress:.While all the well meaning individuals of the world look look for ways to clean our air, our water, our lives, there is always someone who has their finger on the reality of the situation by using game theory models: http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2009/10/16/recipe_for_failure This guy has a better than 90% success rate at predicting the outcomes of political situations..Basically what the article says it that every country is out for themselves (and why nothing lasting/meaningful will come out of Copenhagen in Dec). Just because you make clever little kumbayaa videos it doesn't mean you're going to change the behavior of other countries that are now becoming significant players in the game of global economics. The up-and-comers rationalize that the US and Western Europe have had their opportunity and they polluted and ran up carbon emissions indiscriminately to benefit their own people (and continue to do so) so why shouldn't we take care of our own first too and think about the repercussions later? Or more likely, the 1st-World countries will have more money to try and solve the problems that they created in the first place. These countries won't tow the line unless the more powerful countries (and their citizens) agree to lead by example. Our duty is to lead and then provide relevant knowledge that we have gained to the developing countries. The temptation to use economic leverage over other emerging economies that partially or don't comply but that would be a diplomatic error. That would only fuel more anti-American rhetoric down the road..More about Bruce Bueno de Mesquita: http://www.good.is/post/the-new-nostradamus/.This just in on Sat but I just read it: Copenhagen a bust for climate change even before the meeting starts: http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/15/world/asia/15prexy.html?_r=1 Was this a self-fulfilling prophecy or is Bruce the Geo-Political Game Master?