The January 3rd Iowa primary is coming up, and the Democratic candidate who wins in the early primary states is going to get a lot of momentum. But simply looking at how many Iowans like which candidate doesn't necessarily tell you how the primary is going to turn out. The Iowa Independent has come up with their own predictions, looking at "quality of each campaign's on-the-ground organization, the likelihood of each candidate's supporters actually attending a caucus, second choice support, and -- at the most basic level -- gut feelings and guesses."
The January 3rd Iowa primary is coming up, and the Democratic candidate who wins in the early primary states is going to get a lot of momentum. But simply looking at how many Iowans like which candidate doesn't necessarily tell you how the primary is going to turn out. The Iowa Independent has come up with their own predictions, looking at "quality of each campaign's on-the-ground organization, the likelihood of each candidate's supporters actually attending a caucus, second choice support, and -- at the most basic level -- gut feelings and guesses."